Post of March 29th
I am not underestimating the seriousness of the plague afflicting the world.Or criticising the reaction by world governments to shut down their economies – ( Except Sweden, I think)
Although unprecedented, frightening, and causing widespread fear – it is the only way to gain time while the health services are fully mobilised.
Whilst warnings have been circulating that a pandemic was due ,the terrifying savagery of this one could not be foreseen.
Forcefully keeping as many people as possible in their homes is the best way to keep the infection rate down,until the hospitals have the extra beds,infected lung ventilators and staff to get control of the extraordinary scale of the challenge facing them.
Until then,the news agencies have to keep reporting depressing figures in suitably grim tones,otherwise much of the population,who’ve known nothing but good times, would be encouraged to defy the home curfew,cause more infection, and add to the task of the police and hospitals..
The virus infection & death statistics are frightening.But as an elderly in a vulnerable group, I look for encouragement in the figures.
Last evening (Saturday) for example, in a suitable voice of doom,a government official forecast a worse case scenario of 20,000 deaths in the UK.
The official,however, said the isolation strategy, & urgently mobilising extra resources for the health service, will see infection numbers coming down,and numbers healed going up. The race is to quickly reach that balance, get in front,not chasing as now,i.e be more and more in control.
To me, 20,000 deaths in a UK population of 60,000.000, means 59,980.000 live. With those odds,as a horse racing fan & betting man, I hope to be in that lot.
PS -This is not to be complacent. The statistics do encourage me,but how long it takes to get in control will depend on how disciplined we are.
How to Stop A Runaway Horse? – Put A Bet On It.
Runaway Horse coffee Mug from Home Decor Tag – Etsy